总统大选系列收官：美官员、学者展望拜登政府初期的中美关系

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拜登领导的新一届政府将于1月20日就职。2020年的美国大选，除了引入一个新的、经验丰富的政府高层政策职位团队之外，还将使白宫和美国国会两院在经历了多年的"分裂"之后，在未来两年内被掌握在同一个政党手中，这标志着华盛顿动态博弈的政策制定平衡将发生重大变化。

在全球舞台上，没有其他任何的双边关系能超过美中关系。拜登政府上台之际，商界领袖、政界人士和学者都在密集追问美中关系的下一个时代会是什么样子。拜登政府对待中国的方式是否与特朗普政府基本相同，或者他是否会回到奥巴马政府担任副总统时的对华政策上来，或者他会完全走另一条路？中美在气候变化、流行病和恐怖主义等突出的全球问题上的合作前景如何？近年来，高级别对话大多已经萎缩。恢复高级别对话是可取的，也是可能的吗？军事关系有稳定的空间吗？两国能否对陷入困境的关系进行意义深远的"重新设定"？或者说，以更缓慢、更渐进的方式稳定双边关系，更有可能取得积极成果？

在展望拜登政府时期的美中关系时，中国美国商会将于北京时间1月23日上午邀请一队由经验丰富的美国前政府高官及学者组成的团队对拜登总统任期初期两国关系的前景进行深入探讨，并着重深入地缘政治、经贸关系和国家安全等问题。

更多资讯，欢迎通过电邮bsui@amchamchina.org联系隋宝锏先生。

演讲嘉宾

Frank Lavin

美国前商务部副部长；前美国驻新加坡大使

Susan Shirk

前美国国务院东亚暨太平洋事务局中国、香港、蒙古暨台湾事务副助理国务卿；加州大学圣地亚哥分校21世纪中国项目主任

张之香大使

前美国驻尼泊尔大使；中美教育基金总裁

David Finkelstein

CAN副总裁兼中国及印太安全事务处主任

Christian Murck

APCO 高级顾问；前中国美国商会总裁；前台北美国商会主席

Frank Lavin has spent most of his professional life helping companies succeed in China, through leadership roles in banking, marketing, and diplomacy. Following his work in the White House and National Security Council, Frank served as Ambassador to Singapore and Undersecretary of Commerce for International Trade. In the latter role, he was lead trade negotiator for both China and India and was the senior policy official, responsible for commercial policy, export promotion and trade negotiations. In the private sector, Frank was an Asia practice leader at Edelman, and prior to that he worked in senior finance and management positions in Hong Kong and Singapore with Bank of America and Citibank. Frank also served as Chairman of the Steering Committee of the USA Pavilion at the Shanghai 2010 World Expo. Frank is the co-author of “Export Now” (Wiley). Frank earned a B.S. from the School of Foreign Service at and an M.S. in Chinese Language and History, both from Georgetown University; an M.A. in International Relations and International Economics from the School of Advanced International Studies at the Johns Hopkins University; and an M.B.A. in Finance at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania.

Susan Shirk is research professor and chair of the 21st Century China Center. She is one of the most influential experts working on U.S.-China relations and Chinese politics. She is also director emeritus of the University of California’s Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation (IGCC). Susan Shirk first visited China in 1971 and has been teaching, researching and engaging China diplomatically ever since. From 1997-2000, Dr. Shirk served as Deputy Assistant Secretary of State in the Bureau of East Asia and Pacific Affairs, with responsibility for China, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Mongolia. Shirk’s book “China: Fragile Superpower” helped frame the policy debate on China in the U.S. and other countries. Shirk co-chairs a task force of China experts that issued its second report “Course Correction: Toward an Effective and Sustainable China Policy,” in February 2019, and is the co-author of the 2020 report, “Meeting the China Challenge: A New American Strategy for Technology Competition.” She is also co-chair of the UC San Diego Forum on U.S.-China Relations, the first ongoing high-level forum focused entirely on the U.S.-China relationship. Shirk earned her Ph.D. in Political Science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

张之香（Julia Chang Bloch）大使是首位在美国历史上获此殊位的亚裔美国人。她在国际事务和政府服务领域有着广泛的职业生涯，从1964年开始担任马来西亚沙巴的和平军团志愿者，并在1989年最终担任美国驻尼泊尔王国大使。从1981年到1988年，由总统提名并经参议院确认，张之香大使在美国原子能机构任职，担任国际发展部粮食和平与自愿援助助理署长以及亚洲和近东助理署长。她还是参议院特选委员会的首席少数民族法律顾问；参议院专业工作人员；美国新闻署非洲事务办公室副主任；哈佛大学肯尼迪政府学院政治研究所研究员，以及哈佛国际事务中心美日关系计划研究员。

David M. Finkelstein is a Vice President at CNA, an independent research institute which operates the Center for Naval Analyses (a Federally Funded Research & Development Center) and the Institute for Public Research. At CNA, he also serves as the Director of the China & Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Division. He received a PhD in Chinese and Japanese history from Princeton University and studied Mandarin at Nankai University in Tianjin, China. He is a member of the National Committee for US-China Relations and the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS). A retired US Army officer, Finkelstein is a graduate of the United States Military Academy at West Point, the US Army Command & General Staff College, the US Army War College, the US Army Foreign Area Officer Course at the JFK Center for Military Assistance and Unconventional Warfare, and the US Army Airborne School. Commissioned in the Regular Army, he held various command and staff positions to include service with the 86th and 40th Signal Battalions of the 11th Signal Brigade, the US Army Communications Command, the 505th Signal Company, and with the United Nations Command Joint Security Force in Panmunjom, Korea — an infantry battalion in the Demilitarized Zone. He also held various China and Asia-related positions in the Pentagon, including director for Asian analyses on the Joint Staff (J-8). He also served on the faculty of the history department at West Point where he taught Chinese history, Japanese history, and the history of warfare in Asia. His awards and decorations include the Defense Superior Service Medal, the Legion of Merit, and parachutist wings.

Christian Murck is a member of the International Advisory Council, APCO Worldwide, having previously served as its chair for Asia. He currently serves on the boards of the Geiss Hsu Foundation, the Harvard-Yenching Institute and the United Board for Christian Higher Education in China. Murck lived in Taipei for five years and Beijing for seventeen. As a banker he was Senior Country Officer, China for the Chase Manhattan Bank. He was also a director of the Bank of Shanghai, nominated by the International Finance Corporation, and later of JP Morgan Chase (China) Co. Ltd. An active spokesperson for the American business community, he was President of the American Chamber of Commerce in China and previously chaired its board. He also chaired the board of AmCham Taipei. He received a Ph.D. in East Asian Studies at Princeton University.

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会员价格人民币 650

会员公司雇员

标准价格人民币 850

非会员

标准价格人民币 1,200

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总统大选系列收官：美官员、学者展望拜登政府初期的中美关系

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